How Cambridge voted in the 2014 European Elections

All the results of the European Elections are now in, so here’s a look at how the votes were cast in Cambridge. The numbers are announced in each district – you can get the full set for the East of England here. The result across the region was that UKIP and the Conservatives each won three of the seven seats, with one for Labour. UKIP gained one at the expense of the region’s sole Lib Dem MEP, Andrew Duff, who lost his seat after fifteen years.

But back to Cambridge. First of all, here’s a graph showing how the vote shares have changed since the last European elections in 2009:

The biggest change is in Labour’s share of the vote – in 2009 they were at around their lowest ebb, and finished in fourth place behind the Greens. This time they topped the poll in Cambridge comfortably. UKIP’s vote share also increased, but by nothing like the dramatic advances seen elsewhere, and they remained in fifth place. The Greens also advanced a little too, but still came third. The main losers were the Lib Dems, whose vote only just stayed ahead of the Greens – a worrying sign for Julian Huppert, who will face the same electorate next May in the General Election (with the exception of Queen Edith’s ward which is not part of the constituency). The Conservatives also did badly, dropping from second to fourth overall. It’s also notable that the small BNP vote almost disappeared this time.

It’s also interesting to compare how people voted in the local elections, held on the same day as the European vote. Here’s the graph:cameuloc14

There are some marked differences here between the local and European results. Labour and the Lib Dems both did significantly better in the local elections, perhaps reflecting the local campaigning effort they put in, while the Greens did better in the European vote. UKIP did vastly better in the European vote, mainly because they had a candidate for the local elections in only one of the fourteen wards.

Finally, here’s a scatterplot showing how Cambridge compares to other districts in the region. This shows the Lib Dem vote horizontally, and the UKIP vote vertically – I’ve chosen these as representing polar opposites in the European debate:

 

This shows how much of an outlier Cambridge is (as it is in many other ways) – most of the districts are clustered at the upper left of the chart, while Cambridge is the only one where the Lib Dems actually outpolled UKIP.

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One Response to How Cambridge voted in the 2014 European Elections

  1. Pingback: The General Election campaign in Cambridge | Phil Rodgers

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